0x0b4dd28927e923ee4a223d6b069ce54d6ee3945e
- Realised P&L
- $1.02
- Volume
- $23.81
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $9.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.625 | $2.60 | +$1.60 |
| Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.710 | 1.000 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.930 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.815 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.310 | 0.270 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.235 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.530Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:40 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:38 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:34 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:07 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:51 | Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 23:55 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 15:52 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 10:44 | Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |