PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LoseWinner

0x0b46c19958d0032466eb3f2adb6e9d2b66cccd0b

Realised P&L
$13.0k
Volume
$147.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$13.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.4720.514$4.8k+$398.18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.7591.000$4.3k+$1.0k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2270.255$4.0k+$437.05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.7061.000$573.20+$168.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.205$20.50$1.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.57634131$576.34
08-02 22:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5002382288$101.67
08-02 21:46Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.4130010569$2.1k
08-02 21:44Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4019020995$136.87
08-02 21:42Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.49982$499.82
08-02 21:41Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.48852407$977.05
08-02 21:40Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.44998005$899.96
08-02 21:38Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.441408$441.41
08-02 21:35Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4313784606$157.38
08-02 21:35Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4288831995$192.81
08-02 21:35Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4220945946$312.35
08-02 17:06Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.46546475$186.19
08-02 13:36Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.699$65.34
08-02 13:35Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6999796553$285.91
08-02 13:30Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4729444227$363.02