BulkaeD
0x0b18a8d6197d0210211adc2600a257aedab2e6bc
- Realised P&L
- $-9.7k
- Volume
- $273.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.27at 0.889Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?
- +$167.44at 0.810Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
- +$137.41at 0.837US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
- +$111.78at 0.932Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
- +$98.03at 0.951Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.035971223 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |
| 03-03 20:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $390.00 |
| 02-18 06:49 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.171 | $2.16 |
| 02-18 06:36 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.06 |
| 02-02 17:28 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2582129561 | $99.00 |
| 02-02 17:27 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.32 | $200.00 |
| 02-02 17:27 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.066096523 | $140.00 |
| 02-02 17:26 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0180032748 | $40.00 |
| 02-02 17:26 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0078351586 | $34.00 |
| 02-02 17:26 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0058948295 | $45.00 |
| 02-02 17:25 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0027308982 | $25.00 |
| 11-09 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 9? | BUY | 0.1969999985 | $100.00 |