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0x0ae553ff97cd8a74e5d27dc3fc40cde4bfd6f681
- Realised P&L
- $-207.50
- Volume
- $106.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,710
- Open portfolio
- $237.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,710
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.665 | 0.772 | $231.75 | +$32.25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 9? · Up | 0.460 | 0.415 | $4.33 | −$0.47 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 9? · No | 0.140 | 0.017 | $1.65 | −$12.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.97at 0.134S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
- +$67.42at 0.308Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$63.99at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?
- +$46.00at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$45.00at 0.520S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 23:38 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.41 | $898.66 |
| 07-29 23:38 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.3308299633 | $296.96 |
| 07-07 01:26 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4499999969 | $43.00 |
| 07-05 16:14 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3569999861 | $14.00 |
| 07-01 14:57 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3367549324 | $6.00 |
| 06-29 03:03 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3253187368 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 05:23 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3279999759 | $8.50 |
| 06-24 13:02 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3699999894 | $15.00 |
| 06-20 11:25 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.334 | $48.63 |
| 06-12 19:12 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4399999987 | $69.00 |
| 06-12 07:37 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4299999993 | $299.00 |
| 06-12 07:26 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4299999731 | $8.00 |
| 06-12 07:22 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.57 | $7.86 |
| 06-12 07:18 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5799999884 | $8.00 |
| 06-11 16:48 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0459999894 | $4.00 |