PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

John3501

0x08628ebc448f97450825e14ed3a79f45e5a6c7aa

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$521.0k
Markets traded
588
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded588
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$2.0k+$745.88
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$529.13$745.88
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4800.460$64.33$2.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.5000.145$14.50$35.50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.135$13.50+$11.12
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.125$12.50+$10.12
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.115$11.50+$9.12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9220.914$9.14$0.07
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.075$7.50+$5.12
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.002$2.15$3.48
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.002$2.15$3.48
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.002$2.15$3.48
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.013$1.25$1.13
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0240.009$0.95$1.43
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$0.60$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 00:21Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$0.24
07-31 00:19Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.003$0.30
07-31 00:19Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.005$0.50
07-31 00:19Will RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.007$0.70
07-31 00:18Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.011$1.10
07-27 23:41Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.002$0.20
07-27 23:41Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.002$0.20
07-27 23:39Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.041$4.10
07-22 15:29Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.008$0.40
07-22 15:29Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.016$0.80
07-22 15:28Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.11$5.50
07-22 15:27Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.002$2.86
07-11 21:52Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1485669652$29.86
07-11 21:27Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1479600154$92.47
06-09 16:51Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.002$0.16