John3501
0x08628ebc448f97450825e14ed3a79f45e5a6c7aa
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $521.0k
- Markets traded
- 588
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded588
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$590.55at 0.500Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$499.39at 0.023Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$411.78at 0.008Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$364.19at 0.555Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$335.78at 0.008Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 00:21 | Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 07-31 00:19 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 07-31 00:19 | Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-31 00:19 | Will RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 07-31 00:18 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 07-27 23:41 | Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 07-27 23:41 | Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 07-27 23:39 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.041 | $4.10 |
| 07-22 15:29 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.40 |
| 07-22 15:29 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.80 |
| 07-22 15:28 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 07-22 15:27 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.86 |
| 07-11 21:52 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1485669652 | $29.86 |
| 07-11 21:27 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1479600154 | $92.47 |
| 06-09 16:51 | Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.16 |