PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x042d8526350DD13DC836201E6ACfbAb5981f0b81-1730169470092

0x042d8526350dd13dc836201e6acfbab5981f0b81

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$54.8k
Markets traded
836
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded836
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8160.887$293.82+$23.82
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.8770.925$158.32+$8.32
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) · Quillan Salkilld0.5600.585$116.99+$5.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.7280.315$116.78$153.22
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? · Yes0.6300.660$105.60+$4.80
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? · No0.8600.875$105.00+$1.80
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9400.915$87.61$2.39
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m? · No0.7801.000$76.88+$16.88
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? · No0.8700.885$76.29+$1.29
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.3200.495$74.20+$26.23
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? · No0.6000.595$58.58$0.49
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.7100.425$53.87$36.13
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03? · No0.5900.585$49.65$0.42
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.6600.905$49.36+$13.36
Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-08-03? · Yes0.4800.495$46.70+$1.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 13:28Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?SELL0.8781983364$156.26
08-01 10:08Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?SELL0.925$157.69
08-01 09:19Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.959$126.10
07-30 04:22Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsSELL0.51$24.21
07-30 04:21New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxSELL0.5$19.81
07-30 04:15Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsSELL0.47$12.69
07-29 16:45Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.989$276.92
07-29 14:20Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.9815018668$289.17
07-28 04:07Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam WaltonBUY0.63$15.06
07-28 04:06New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.45$11.72
07-28 03:57ITF Bolzano: Peter Buldorini vs Federico ArnaboldiBUY0.87$22.62
07-27 00:53Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.4$14.44
07-27 00:51Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-27?BUY0.77$35.04
07-26 19:38Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?BUY0.86$103.20
07-26 16:00UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.77$115.50