0x00f7fa259a4cf40096e6f0346abc9868d8db04b9
- Realised P&L
- $1.85
- Volume
- $32.63
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $13.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 1.000 | $4.55 | +$3.55 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.680 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes | 0.630 | 1.000 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.665 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.220 | 0.280 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.535 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.105 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.155 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:07 | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 00:53 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:53 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:44 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:43 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:18 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:09 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:08 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |