PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-04
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.035 over the period, from 0.051. Range 0.015 to 0.225. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.016278278
0.017405683
0.018310993
0.0192001,193
0.0202001,393
0.0212001,593
0.022201,613
0.0301001,713
0.035601,772
0.0401911,963
0.0481002,063
0.0501102,173

Spread0.003Mid0.014

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0131,7141,714
0.0121,7003,414
0.0117204,134
0.0101,7355,869
0.00918,77324,642
0.00824724,888
0.00739225,280
0.00668725,967
0.0051,03026,997
0.0041,51028,507
0.0034,97033,477
0.0024,58338,061

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9871,7141,714
0.9881,7003,414
0.9897204,134
0.9901,7355,869
0.99118,77324,642
0.99224724,888
0.99339225,280
0.99468725,967
0.9951,03026,997
0.9961,51028,507
0.9974,97033,477
0.9984,58338,061

Spread0.003Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.984278278
0.983405683
0.982310993
0.9812001,193
0.9802001,393
0.9792001,593
0.978201,613
0.9701001,713
0.965601,772
0.9601911,963
0.9521002,063
0.9501102,173

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
Bobi-BeebsYes11,044.18
smalltimezzzYes7,484.94
Kaiji123Yes7,009.18
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
LinaBell🦊Yes5,000
Romeo005Yes4,284.08
0x146fb4c5Yes4,000
PrexpectYes3,859.67
RickRockRickYes3,204
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,099.1
hetaczYes3,000.02
SugarinaYes3,000
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,811
dddtripsYes2,721.77
BitgodYes2,526.57
MilkTeaaYes2,267
oiisparahaaYes2,106.14
LuckyMANNNYes2,099.83
0xd3760017D649f54DdeFC7311eFa598Be53B2231d-1784531370159Yes1,922.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:09:47SELLYes0.0159$0.13
04:36:21SELLYes0.01850$0.90
04:12:50BUYYes0.019100719450$0.96
04:12:29BUYYes0.01816$0.28
03:29:32SELLYes0.01856$1.00
03:21:42SELLYes0.01845200$3.69
03:13:09SELLYes0.021232$4.86
03:04:11BUYYes0.0217$0.14
03:04:00BUYYes0.02223$4.46
03:00:42BUYYes0.017413$7.02
02:49:12SELLYes0.0168$0.13
02:49:12SELLYes0.0168$0.13
02:49:11BUYYes0.016200$3.20
02:48:56SELLYes0.0164$0.07
02:48:54SELLYes0.0168$0.13
02:48:54BUYYes0.0159166771240$3.82
02:39:18BUYYes0.01420$0.28
02:17:27BUYYes0.016105$1.68
02:17:27SELLYes0.0150$0.01
02:17:14SELLYes0.0151$0.02
02:17:14SELLYes0.0151$0.02
02:17:12BUYYes0.015143$2.14
02:14:30SELLYes0.0145$0.07
02:14:30SELLYes0.0141$0.02
02:14:29BUYYes0.01567$1.01