pogirog
0xfeb1442127795ecafed6584309b1afb9f29da66d
- Realised P&L
- $-236.89
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $230.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.150 | $189.29 | −$129.04 |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.625 | $30.85 | −$7.65 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.115 | $10.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.57at 0.440Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 23:18 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2999999936 | $23.33 |
| 06-23 23:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.43 | $24.43 |
| 06-23 13:15 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 13:14 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.76 | $11.20 |
| 06-23 13:14 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2627473825 | $100.00 |
| 06-20 20:54 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.419999995 | $40.00 |
| 06-20 20:54 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 20:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4399999965 | $25.00 |
| 06-20 20:51 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1078429681 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 20:48 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999937 | $30.00 |
| 06-20 20:47 | Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 20:47 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 20:46 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-20 20:45 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 06-20 20:45 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.239999998 | $80.00 |