0xfe2cb0d689fd4dd7b3cd99194e4118571b89d246
- Realised P&L
- $496.40
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$446.03at 0.535U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$155.07at 0.699Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?
- +$84.71at 0.371Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?
- +$50.00at 0.620Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
- +$29.26at 0.757Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.93 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 06:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.852675939 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 06:47 | Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? | BUY | 0.2850469805 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 04:37 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 04:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 04:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.729133787 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 04:25 | Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? | BUY | 0.6410761624 | $150.00 |
| 08-03 04:24 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7201227942 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.9414191107 | $149.26 |
| 08-01 16:39 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7587859412 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 16:39 | Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7444739259 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 16:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 16:35 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.63 | $680.54 |
| 08-01 14:40 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7425760927 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 14:33 | Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |