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Traders

0xfe2cb0d689fd4dd7b3cd99194e4118571b89d246

Realised P&L
$496.40
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7430.885$1.1k+$172.20
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7460.735$246.39$3.61
Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6260.560$223.59$26.41
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.8530.998$175.48+$25.48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.3220.435$135.28+$35.28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.5700.245$128.95$171.05
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? · No0.6410.550$128.69$21.31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.7200.635$88.18$11.82
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3900.385$49.36$0.64
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6670.655$49.08$0.92
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7290.710$48.69$1.31
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? · No0.2850.250$17.54$2.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.5500.470$17.09$2.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.4600.745$16.20+$6.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.93$150.00
08-04 06:50Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026?BUY0.852675939$150.00
08-04 06:47Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?BUY0.2850469805$20.00
08-03 04:37Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.3899999959$50.00
08-03 04:32US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
08-03 04:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.729133787$50.00
08-03 04:25Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?BUY0.6410761624$150.00
08-03 04:24Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7201227942$100.00
08-02 02:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.9414191107$149.26
08-01 16:39Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7587859412$50.00
08-01 16:39Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7444739259$50.00
08-01 16:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.25$50.00
08-01 16:35Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.63$680.54
08-01 14:40Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7425760927$200.00
08-01 14:33Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
Trader 0xfe2c…d246 · PolyBot