PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xfe05a892bf05500050ba928e876ee819af635a5e

Realised P&L
$21.27
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$2.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5? · Yes0.3700.998$2.70+$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5? · Yes0.2400.015$0.06$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? · Yes0.3900.010$0.03$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 08:56Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?SELL0.02$0.11
08-05 08:55Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?SELL0.995$2.62
08-05 08:55Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?SELL0.94$2.76
08-05 08:54Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?SELL0.99$3.30
08-05 06:08Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?SELL0.99$5.20
08-05 06:07Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?SELL0.95$6.33
08-04 16:25Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.07$0.32
08-04 16:25Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 4?SELL0.05$0.24
08-04 16:25Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 4?SELL0.04$0.24
08-04 16:25Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?SELL0.07$0.26
08-04 16:15Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-04 16:15Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-04 16:14Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-04 15:18Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-04 15:16Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.998$3.56
Trader 0xfe05…5a5e · PolyBot