shamu14
0xfd37c3c95979a46195ec5152439f820ca2d19135
- Realised P&L
- $507.19
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $10.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.100 | $10.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.71at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 9?
- +$81.01at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9?
- +$77.80at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9?
- +$64.63at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?
- +$57.35at 0.109Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-09 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0144404 | $1.44 |
| 08-09 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.150318279 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.86 |
| 08-09 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.10071 | $10.07 |
| 08-09 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $35.00 |
| 08-09 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.2048947159 | $5.16 |
| 08-09 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0987654321 | $8.00 |
| 08-09 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.5308988646 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.79 |
| 08-09 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 08-09 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-09 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0014733751 | $0.15 |
| 08-09 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C or higher on August 9? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-09 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0044561222 | $0.56 |