IsaacB777
0xfc418be76aa49823d844964edd6c558fbbf08e6b
- Realised P&L
- $-213.38
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 489
- Open portfolio
- $108.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded489
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? · Down | 0.550 | 0.645 | $58.05 | +$8.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? · No | 0.550 | 1.000 | $18.17 | +$8.17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Down | 0.780 | 0.705 | $15.57 | −$1.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? · No | 0.740 | 1.000 | $13.51 | +$3.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.790 | 0.295 | $2.14 | −$3.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$9.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? · No | 0.770 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.429 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.09at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$38.03at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3AM ET
- +$32.38at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1AM ET
- +$30.02at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$29.54at 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.74 |
| 08-07 02:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999852 | $5.74 |
| 08-07 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999852 | $5.74 |
| 08-07 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999986 | $5.74 |
| 08-07 01:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.49 |
| 08-07 01:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $5.49 |
| 08-07 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $2.24 |
| 08-07 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.589999975 | $5.20 |
| 08-07 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999839 | $5.21 |
| 08-07 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999839 | $5.21 |
| 08-07 00:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999771 | $5.22 |
| 08-07 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999705 | $4.92 |
| 08-07 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999791 | $4.92 |
| 08-07 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999791 | $4.92 |
| 08-07 00:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999084 | $2.20 |