cs351
0xfc2fec95c817cb40737b32ff97c794f76d720e5e
- Realised P&L
- $-111.83
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $49.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)7.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? · No | 0.538 | 0.535 | $31.91 | −$0.18 |
| Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.610 | 0.615 | $17.68 | +$0.14 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.592 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.627Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.660Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 6?
- +$0.00at 0.600Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
- +$0.00at 0.580Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:16 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.78 |
| 08-05 22:16 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.78 | $115.44 |
| 08-05 22:15 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 08-05 15:33 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $5.68 |
| 08-05 13:38 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.15 | $16.80 |
| 08-05 13:28 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.728 | $53.87 |
| 08-05 12:12 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.267 | $29.90 |
| 07-31 09:07 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $0.43 |
| 07-31 09:07 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.21 |
| 07-31 09:07 | Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.26 |
| 07-31 09:07 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.33 |
| 07-31 09:07 | Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.16 |
| 07-31 08:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 6? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 08:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 07-31 07:24 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 6? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.34 |