cepefernando
0xfb88f6a86b877d2704328fc9f1ed63b41f8b0e4c
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $72.8k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $826.83
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever · Las Vegas Aces | 0.499 | 0.495 | $496.27 | −$3.73 |
| FC Thun vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advance · FC Thun | 0.720 | 0.595 | $330.56 | −$69.44 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers · Seattle Mariners | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.83 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockx · Roman Andres Burruchaga | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.24 |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) · Houston Astros | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$166.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 31? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$923.08at 0.520San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$902.33at 0.500Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)
- +$884.91at 0.530Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
- +$692.40at 0.640Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$681.31at 0.520Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 18:49 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.4987174981 | $500.00 |
| 08-06 13:47 | FC Thun vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $400.00 |
| 08-06 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 22:22 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.6499999975 | $250.00 |
| 08-05 22:22 | New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.52 | $600.00 |
| 08-05 20:18 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.994982285 | $742.52 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.6799999996 | $400.00 |
| 08-05 17:49 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $166.00 |
| 08-05 17:49 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 20:30 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5499999991 | $96.00 |
| 08-04 20:23 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5599999991 | $169.00 |
| 08-03 21:40 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4699999993 | $260.00 |
| 08-03 21:36 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 20:47 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.7657498315 | $556.72 |
| 08-02 20:20 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | SELL | 0.999 | $1.9k |