islam-eiiluuk
0xfb81c6bd9a06142a5f06e1eae07928488693d9b3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $39.2k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $80.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.10at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?
- +$130.12at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 25?
- +$100.78at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?
- +$99.85at 0.199Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?
- +$86.43at 0.442Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.0972589398 | $6.99 |
| 08-05 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $28.62 |
| 08-05 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0455813953 | $1.96 |
| 08-05 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.96 |
| 08-05 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0581775007 | $1.96 |
| 08-05 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.98 | $10.78 |
| 08-05 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.1062438581 | $1.98 |
| 08-05 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4357528899 | $15.39 |
| 08-05 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.96 |
| 08-05 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.27 | $21.06 |
| 08-05 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4637779789 | $9.69 |
| 08-05 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.10921875 | $6.99 |
| 08-05 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1072166537 | $1.98 |
| 08-05 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1047547561 | $6.99 |
| 08-05 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0993975904 | $1.98 |