fortroar
0xfad519100ebd55089baf050c5853ddf6afaad688
- Realised P&L
- $-39.52
- Volume
- $676.75
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $0.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 11? · No | 0.110 | 0.055 | $0.32 | −$0.32 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.019 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.66 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.65 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.84 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.87 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET · Down | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.32at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$12.00at 0.200Solana Up or Down - August 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$5.09at 0.460Solana Up or Down - August 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$4.88at 0.170Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$4.26at 0.190Solana Up or Down - August 6, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 09:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $0.73 |
| 08-06 08:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $0.38 |
| 08-06 08:50 | Solana Up or Down - August 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $0.94 |
| 08-06 08:50 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $0.99 |
| 08-06 08:46 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $0.66 |
| 08-06 08:45 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 08:37 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $0.52 |
| 08-06 08:31 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $0.95 |
| 08-06 08:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $0.87 |
| 08-06 08:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $0.75 |
| 08-06 08:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $0.72 |
| 08-06 07:56 | BNB Up or Down - August 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.008 | $0.05 |
| 08-06 07:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $0.77 |
| 08-06 07:50 | Solana Up or Down - August 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $0.88 |
| 08-06 07:45 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.97 |