PolyBot

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0xfA8cBC8ea1d02E5CE5dF2948Ed5c3ec1591D9169-1779235867284

0xfa8cbc8ea1d02e5ce5df2948ed5c3ec1591d9169

Realised P&L
$10.7k
Volume
$318.1k
Markets traded
927
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded927
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8? · No0.9001.000$349.67+$34.81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? · Yes0.6000.999$156.31+$62.43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7? · Yes0.8801.000$102.45+$12.27
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 8? · No0.9810.979$79.63$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? · No0.9200.999$73.48+$5.81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? · Yes0.9440.985$71.91+$3.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? · Yes0.9701.000$58.53+$1.73
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8? · Yes0.5561.000$51.38+$22.82
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8? · No0.5441.000$33.15+$15.09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? · Yes0.8871.000$29.98+$3.38
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 8? · No0.7500.585$2.92$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? · Yes0.3990.001$0.05$37.95
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 8? · Yes0.8800.001$0.00$7.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$19.63
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30? · No0.8300.000$0.00$4.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 07:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.93$4.65
08-08 07:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.9448529412$64.25
08-08 05:27Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 8?BUY0.88$7.73
08-08 05:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?BUY0.8866666667$26.60
08-08 05:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?SELL0.9415948687$108.63
08-08 04:59Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?BUY0.5526307726$25.25
08-08 04:33Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.5445734097$18.06
08-08 04:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?BUY0.9250638039$45.67
08-08 04:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?BUY0.91$60.06
08-08 04:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?SELL0.1203803419$11.27
08-08 04:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?BUY0.19$4.18
08-08 04:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?BUY0.1405586592$10.06
08-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?SELL0.0253122184$1.91
08-08 03:57Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?SELL0.5978222222$21.52
08-08 03:53Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?SELL0.3545551648$54.44