herm4ue9gjmt
0xf9a58c82d14f9d592f44a7d7911b2fbaacc27ab3
- Realised P&L
- $-71.62
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $5.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.420 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? · No | 0.490 | 0.465 | $1.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.418 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.474 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.64at 0.442Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$9.19at 0.460Solana Up or Down - March 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$7.89at 0.495XRP Up or Down - March 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$6.97at 0.550Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$4.62at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 12:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 11:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 17:23 | Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.4739999071 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 22:48 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.5102957318 | $2.00 |
| 05-06 09:03 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 05-03 20:45 | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 04-07 07:57 | Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $1.92 |
| 04-06 18:54 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 04-03 15:04 | Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 04-03 11:57 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 03-29 20:47 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 03-29 15:51 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.51 |
| 03-23 18:34 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7959999331 | $2.00 |
| 03-23 04:48 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 06:42 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |