0xf8E40953bC4AeD01287530B9368DBDbabee7fF59-1776006933553
0xf8e40953bc4aed01287530b9368dbdbabee7ff59
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $204.9k
- Markets traded
- 376
- Open portfolio
- $545.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded376
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.459Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$879.05at 0.174Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$528.31at 0.214Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$469.40at 0.165Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:24 | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $150.00 |
| 08-05 10:08 | National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $250.00 |
| 08-04 07:03 | National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 06:59 | Tigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 06:59 | CF Monterrey vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7032367371 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 06:58 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.4123540728 | $225.07 |
| 08-03 08:16 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5496221205 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $150.00 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 21:25 | Will CF América win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7199999998 | $150.00 |
| 08-02 21:23 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.389999999 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 06:38 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 06:38 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 06:38 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 18:18 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26? | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |