cashk0ng
0xf8375d0f112c0c65eeb7543f48a4c52bd7282814
- Realised P&L
- $-163.69
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $4.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 9? · Up | 0.470 | 0.425 | $4.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 9? · No | 0.173 | 0.018 | $0.21 | −$1.79 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.85 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.19at 0.700Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
- +$50.67at 0.471Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
- +$43.94at 0.176Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?
- +$35.68at 0.345Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
- +$34.40at 0.525Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 10:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.1730768598 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 10:08 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 9? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 07:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.11 |
| 08-08 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BUY | 0.4699999488 | $4.50 |
| 08-08 10:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.12 |
| 08-08 10:03 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 8? | BUY | 0.559999997 | $7.40 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9975 | $16.69 |
| 07-18 23:16 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0219999949 | $4.17 |
| 07-18 23:16 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 23:15 | France vs. England: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $14.48 |
| 07-18 19:04 | France vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 19:04 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6799999885 | $9.50 |
| 06-26 01:02 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.85 |
| 06-25 23:46 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 05-30 17:38 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.76 |