irkjuggler
0xf823e2b90a804026f74d39f3f7b1b4ee7bdf5a6d
- Realised P&L
- $-94.03
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $65.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$333.67at 0.082Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$131.67at 0.071Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$116.76at 0.171Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$33.73at 0.163Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$24.12at 0.410Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 01:35 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.2969998328 | $1.21 |
| 08-09 01:06 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.2959999345 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 00:11 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 00:11 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:25 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31? | BUY | 0.8472886717 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:24 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:23 | Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:18 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:16 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:13 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? | BUY | 0.7899997551 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 21:54 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 22:46 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 22:45 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999557 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 22:44 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 23:29 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $3.00 |