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irkjuggler

0xf823e2b90a804026f74d39f3f7b1b4ee7bdf5a6d

Realised P&L
$-94.03
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$65.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes0.2980.460$15.74+$5.53
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · No0.8060.875$9.77+$0.77
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? · No0.8500.860$6.07+$0.07
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · Yes0.4780.450$5.45$0.35
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.1700.235$4.15+$1.15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? · No0.6800.900$3.97+$0.97
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? · No0.7900.910$3.46+$0.46
Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31? · No0.8200.940$3.44+$0.44
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · No0.6300.675$3.21+$0.21
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8100.865$3.20+$0.20
Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31? · No0.8470.825$2.92$0.08
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.5800.560$2.90$0.10
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · No0.7000.730$1.56+$0.06
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 01:35Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.2969998328$1.21
08-09 01:06Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.2959999345$3.00
08-09 00:11Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.3$3.00
08-09 00:11Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.3$3.00
08-06 12:25Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?BUY0.8472886717$3.00
08-06 12:24Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.84$3.00
08-06 12:23Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31?BUY0.8199999836$3.00
08-06 12:18Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999609$3.00
08-06 12:16Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5799999265$3.00
08-06 12:13Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?BUY0.7899997551$3.00
08-05 21:54Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8$3.00
08-01 22:46Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.8599999828$3.00
08-01 22:45Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999557$3.00
08-01 22:44Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$3.00
07-31 23:29Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?BUY0.6799999637$3.00