PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf6fbb09c37e13f150edf58f70fbf9d2087890ba1

Realised P&L
$7.33
Volume
$66.53
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$14.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.7901.000$2.53+$0.53
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.7600.930$2.45+$0.45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.7800.895$2.29+$0.29
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · No0.7700.805$2.09+$0.09
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.585$1.98$0.02
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · No0.5900.645$1.94+$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6900.415$1.20$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:34Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-04 01:32Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-03 17:31Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
08-03 09:31Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-03 01:13Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-02 17:12Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.7699997035$2.00
08-02 08:54Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-02 00:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-01 16:37Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 03:46Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.42$1.47
07-31 19:46Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.59$1.77
07-31 11:43New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 22:41Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 03:02Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5799998886$1.77
07-28 18:07Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53