PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

goggler

0xf6297352e480325acdb3575335e619eb2af8bda0

Realised P&L
$11.3k
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
832
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded832
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$792.50+$292.50
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? · No0.4500.875$640.21+$310.96
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$207.50$292.50
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? · Yes0.3360.265$186.50$50.08
Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.360$11.50$1.28
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00$237.48
PGA Championship: Hole in One? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$22.17
Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$75.00
Will Deep Fission not IPO before August 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$9.00
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain0.5500.000$0.00$549.99
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026? · No0.0920.000$0.00$101.20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$339.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 19:48Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?SELL0.983$6.55
06-30 19:47Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?SELL0.9773$97.73
06-15 15:29IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5BUY0.39$195.00
06-15 15:28Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.68$339.99
06-15 15:27Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.55$549.99
05-28 13:30Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?BUY0.94$18.80
05-27 14:14Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?BUY0.9122137887$86.53
05-27 14:14Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?BUY0.9152380952$115.32
05-23 00:43Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?BUY0.91$291.20
05-23 00:43Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?BUY0.9$17.00
05-14 14:34Will Micware not IPO before July 2026?SELL0.0024010501$0.19
05-13 17:52Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL0.016$2.80
05-12 21:41Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.05$5.50
05-12 19:27Will EagleRock's market cap be less than $2.0B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.0722277624$8.11
05-12 19:10Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $5.5B and $6.0B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.04$0.10