Bettingcryptofr
0xf5aa2f0a96c8a6a4d658c68ddb4d61a586f1fd4a
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $166.4k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $545.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.605 | 0.625 | $481.10 | +$15.68 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.033 | $29.42 | −$257.74 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.040 | $19.75 | −$16.75 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.029 | $14.75 | −$3.75 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Will PAOK WF win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$437.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.9kat 0.112Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.2kat 0.242Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$5.1kat 0.496Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?
- +$1.3kat 0.540Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$938.40at 0.490Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:12 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.61 | $195.81 |
| 08-08 11:12 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.6007797041 | $269.61 |
| 08-05 12:28 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.4892990846 | $370.40 |
| 08-05 12:23 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5018999137 | $395.36 |
| 08-05 12:21 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.4948767579 | $553.53 |
| 08-05 12:17 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5054882888 | $1.3k |
| 08-05 12:15 | Will PAOK WF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.2431242604 | $51.36 |
| 08-05 12:14 | Will PAOK WF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.2558126683 | $386.54 |
| 08-05 12:13 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.49134555 | $982.69 |
| 08-05 12:10 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.48393415 | $967.87 |
| 07-07 22:36 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5 | $400.00 |
| 07-07 22:20 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.5764106162 | $1.1k |
| 07-07 22:17 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0456161705 | $41.30 |
| 07-07 22:06 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.5914011307 | $788.77 |
| 07-07 12:03 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3285444496 | $496.33 |