0x241289E8e1130aE7BbC123C90d91fee4A50f3d41-1774432572743
0xf5806cbabbfe7c222965dce0050c3256f4a773e0
- Realised P&L
- $9.17
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $9.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.08at 0.715Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$7.73at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.16at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?
- +$2.62at 0.364Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$2.38at 0.088Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $0.89 |
| 08-02 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:36 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |