MomentumB
0xf50543a879ad98176035c899868512dcfc9d7a35
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $384.7k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.731 | 0.750 | $1.6k | +$40.78 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? · Yes | 0.726 | 0.750 | $385.03 | +$12.31 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.475 | $76.85 | −$23.70 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.78 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.19 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? · Yes | 0.602 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.801Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$903.32at 0.850US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$848.01at 0.704 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$778.89at 0.750Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$771.66at 0.810Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 11:30 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 11:29 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.32 |
| 08-06 01:29 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.77 | $25.67 |
| 08-06 01:28 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.78 | $41.27 |
| 08-06 01:28 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.80214 | $401.07 |
| 08-05 21:12 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.7497835988 | $265.06 |
| 08-05 19:01 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.81 | $151.28 |
| 08-05 18:56 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.73863103 | $124.64 |
| 08-05 11:58 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7455 | $447.30 |
| 08-05 11:58 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $238.02 |
| 08-05 06:35 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 08-05 06:35 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7 | $46.20 |
| 08-05 06:34 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-05 06:32 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.71 | $28.40 |
| 08-05 06:17 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |