lemonfox
0xf4e45a7b9ae524457e7a54f853f744440218c836
- Realised P&L
- $-586.43
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $4.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.021 | $2.05 | −$0.15 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.740 | 1.000 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.940 | 0.995 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.92at 0.660Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$45.53at 0.730Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$45.00at 0.550Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-08?
- +$41.43at 0.830Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?
- +$40.75at 0.830France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 20:39 | Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 20:37 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:40 | Apóllon Lemesoú leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:21 | Fenerbahçe SK to score first vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:35 | Spread: Santos FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:31 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:43 | FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9699999968 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 17:41 | FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:40 | FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:39 | FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9589999722 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:22 | FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Botoşani: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:29 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.88 | $7.57 |
| 08-02 18:07 | SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |