mauricio.r.santin
0xf4d42ff7ebb0e224bde8561b88c6325f514a8ad7
- Realised P&L
- $-23.81
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $8.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.110 | $5.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.060 | $2.66 | −$1.77 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.76 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.36 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.01at 0.700Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$4.90at 0.701Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.74at 0.860Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$2.53at 0.974France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$2.07at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:03 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.73 |
| 08-04 20:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 19:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 08-03 04:37 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.05 |
| 08-03 03:24 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.129 | $1.29 |
| 08-03 00:33 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.56 |
| 08-03 00:30 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-03 00:30 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 00:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 08-02 02:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 08-02 00:32 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.18 |
| 07-31 22:52 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 07-31 14:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.44 |
| 07-30 22:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.733 | $5.89 |