Morinasao
0xf4d2679e22fc96683d566b9bf99464615013b786
- Realised P&L
- $14.69
- Volume
- $880.85
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $167.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.73at 0.256Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?
- +$4.80at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8?
- +$4.50at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 8?
- +$4.50at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8?
- +$3.51at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.190569607 | $1.36 |
| 08-09 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.3799999608 | $2.52 |
| 08-09 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.3099999027 | $2.04 |
| 08-09 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.2199998491 | $1.05 |
| 08-09 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.1745040027 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.4304294496 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.2599999156 | $1.54 |
| 08-09 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.3181230184 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.1967213115 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.5311474719 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.04 |
| 08-09 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.1560275518 | $3.00 |