cakeke
0xf44087ae961056c0d96dede89dec78903cff269c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $1.45M
- Markets traded
- 1,084
- Open portfolio
- $672.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.48at 0.997Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
- +$12.84at 0.974Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
- +$12.22at 0.998Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?
- +$11.48at 0.983Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
- +$11.40at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 17:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $30.99 |
| 05-25 17:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 05-25 17:51 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.36 |
| 05-25 17:51 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.58 |
| 05-25 17:50 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 17:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $126.02 |
| 05-25 17:50 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.983 | $25.97 |
| 05-25 17:50 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $25.81 |
| 05-20 13:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $52.00 |
| 05-20 13:30 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $78.01 |
| 05-20 13:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $26.01 |
| 05-20 13:30 | Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.35 |
| 05-15 20:52 | Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $99.98 |
| 05-15 20:52 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $51.89 |
| 05-15 20:52 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $51.95 |