guilou.farm
0xf4082b6cb947819037a9106ebad7391c7a79afe0
- Realised P&L
- $-280.72
- Volume
- $98.3k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $15.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.46at 0.940Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?
- +$29.84at 0.934Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 29?
- +$24.43at 0.941Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?
- +$24.42at 0.490Rainbow Six Siege: Soul's Heart Esport vs Team Orchid (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Playoffs
- +$22.61at 0.936Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2559054808 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.05 |
| 08-07 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.38 |
| 08-06 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-05 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.81 |
| 08-05 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |