0xf3F5C08DbDDFc087FfCd067fdDBAc0a3e78A3464-1768074554343
0xf3f5c08dbddfc087ffcd067fddbac0a3e78a3464
- Realised P&L
- $484.55
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $421.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$321.68at 0.572Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$244.12at 0.450Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
- +$178.42at 0.359Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$168.41at 0.597Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$97.50at 0.480Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4239000751 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1799999909 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4526106747 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 08:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $23.47 |
| 08-02 08:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.32 | $23.88 |
| 08-01 14:14 | Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | SELL | 0.991 | $132.66 |
| 07-31 23:20 | Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.7470119521 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 20:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8946322059 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 20:18 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.952 | $49.63 |
| 07-31 01:50 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.9589999999 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 22:20 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.4553824176 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 23:18 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.809999997 | $250.00 |