PolyBot

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Traders

0xf3825c2236d09c8866e5659e7befd2f18264a3c5

Realised P&L
$0.25
Volume
$57.20
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$17.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2600.725$6.11+$3.92
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7800.875$2.46+$0.27
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.870$2.44+$0.25
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6900.685$2.17$0.02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · Yes0.6200.570$2.00$0.18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.8000.710$1.94$0.25
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.114$0.83$1.36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.3200.001$0.00$2.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:31US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.6199998976$2.18
08-04 08:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.8$2.19
08-04 00:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7799999288$2.19
08-03 16:27Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6899999118$2.19
08-03 08:24Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3$2.19
08-02 21:14Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999288$2.19
08-02 00:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2599999406$2.19
08-01 16:20Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.19
08-01 03:10Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 19:08Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 11:08New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.19
07-30 12:35Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-29 22:01Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53