0xf3825c2236d09c8866e5659e7befd2f18264a3c5
- Realised P&L
- $0.25
- Volume
- $57.20
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $17.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.725 | $6.11 | +$3.92 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.875 | $2.46 | +$0.27 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.870 | $2.44 | +$0.25 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.685 | $2.17 | −$0.02 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.570 | $2.00 | −$0.18 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.710 | $1.94 | −$0.25 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.114 | $0.83 | −$1.36 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:31 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.6199998976 | $2.18 |
| 08-04 08:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 00:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7799999288 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 16:27 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899999118 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 08:24 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 21:14 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799999288 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 00:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2599999406 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 16:20 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 03:10 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 19:08 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 11:08 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.19 |
| 07-30 12:35 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-29 22:01 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |