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Traders

LunaKnight07

0xf364b44c4d2bddb9a6d9d4278a414b0d0b78db06

Realised P&L
$-0.40
Volume
$143.6k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$2.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026? · No0.9890.981$2.14$0.02
Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? · No0.9730.000$0.00$2.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 06:09Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026?BUY0.988999658$2.16
08-06 06:09Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?SELL0.959$1.64
07-28 13:16Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?BUY0.9669996412$1.66
06-06 05:20Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6?BUY0.993$1.85
06-06 05:201 megaton meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.953$3.35
05-10 12:381 megaton meteor strike in 2026?BUY0.9759999977$3.43
05-10 12:38Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.991$14.87
04-04 06:17Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9789999997$14.69
03-14 09:47Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?BUY0.9679999989$7.36
02-03 06:16Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?BUY0.983$7.23
01-30 17:26Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?BUY0.9939999997$7.19
01-30 17:25Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?BUY0.9869999381$7.00
11-10 11:28Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?BUY0.9729999984$2.42
11-04 13:39Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 4?BUY0.9699999917$2.35
11-03 05:52Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?BUY0.997999752$2.35