PolyBot

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Traders

0xf36168087BAA8557a6006304cF8ed74397A308F6-1781606931990

0xf36168087baa8557a6006304cf8ed74397a308f6

Realised P&L
$-21.28
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$555.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 5? · No0.9400.996$49.80+$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6? · No0.9100.940$47.00+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? · No0.9400.930$46.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? · No0.9351.000$33.98+$2.18
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 5? · No0.8801.000$24.99+$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5? · No0.9000.985$24.63+$2.13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? · Yes0.3400.410$20.50+$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 5? · No0.9100.998$19.96+$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 6? · Yes0.3800.375$18.75$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 6? · No0.9100.895$17.90$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? · Yes0.3800.355$17.75$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6? · Yes0.2900.335$16.75+$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? · Yes0.3100.300$15.00$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 6? · Yes0.2500.245$12.25$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? · Yes0.2700.245$12.25$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 18:49Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5?SELL0.999$26.97
08-05 18:24Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.91$9.10
08-05 18:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 6?BUY0.94$9.39
08-05 18:12Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?SELL0.999$19.98
08-05 17:23Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 6?BUY0.89$8.90
08-05 17:22Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 6?BUY0.95$9.50
08-05 16:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6?BUY0.94$9.39
08-05 16:15Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 6?BUY0.92$9.20
08-05 16:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6?BUY0.87$8.70
08-05 16:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 5?SELL0.999$49.95
08-05 16:01Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?SELL0.999$69.93
08-05 14:45Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6?BUY0.86$6.02
08-05 14:44Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.87$8.70
08-05 14:44Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6?BUY0.86$8.60
08-05 14:43Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.85$8.13