0xf36168087BAA8557a6006304cF8ed74397A308F6-1781606931990
0xf36168087baa8557a6006304cf8ed74397a308f6
- Realised P&L
- $-21.28
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $555.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.52at 0.718Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or below on August 2?
- +$11.81at 0.868Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4?
- +$10.95at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4?
- +$10.09at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?
- +$8.64at 0.829Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.97 |
| 08-05 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 08-05 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 08-05 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-05 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 08-05 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-05 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 08-05 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 08-05 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-05 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-05 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 08-05 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.02 |
| 08-05 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-05 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 08-05 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.13 |