PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf257e1b8cd2ab5c55ee05c20c560202544441950

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
2,095
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,095
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.4080.775$421.61+$199.66
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7200.425$275.99$191.32
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2260.367$201.18+$77.31
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.5420.485$187.94$22.14
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.8180.781$182.87$8.53
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.2930.295$165.44+$1.18
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.6900.635$137.79$11.94
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1900.275$130.35+$40.29
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.9110.960$128.50+$6.44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.6850.685$124.35$0.01
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7910.900$119.27+$14.47
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0570.095$114.40+$45.26
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.5940.665$95.59+$10.20
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.4650.489$90.32+$4.35
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.7530.635$87.16$16.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:02Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?SELL0.2966849741$57.26
08-03 03:56Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.44$2.20
08-03 03:04Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.44$3.52
08-03 03:04Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.31$27.90
08-03 02:57Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.4939999968$3.06
08-03 02:36Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.44$43.00
08-03 02:14Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.72$8.84
08-03 02:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6699999988$5.52
08-03 02:01Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0909090909$1.65
08-03 01:46Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0899999353$1.21
08-03 01:34Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1$3.08
08-03 01:22Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2225852537$13.44
08-03 01:12Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.28$13.44
08-03 01:06Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0591044611$3.30
08-03 00:47Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0599999675$1.70