PolyBot

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Traders

gst

0xf2531b12c8806360d1cbc2145da868468da5b484

Realised P&L
$28.53
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$69.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1000.075$48.75$16.25
Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.2200.180$20.45$4.55
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$11.20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$56.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$22.40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$22.40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$33.60
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$11.20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$33.60
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$8.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:48Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1$65.00
08-02 18:01Spain snap election called in 2026?BUY0.2199999944$25.00
07-15 21:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$153.02
07-15 21:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$204.63
05-05 10:09Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.2699999764$8.12
05-05 10:07Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.69$7.96
04-15 11:39Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.7299999896$8.42
04-12 10:27Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$11.20
04-12 10:27Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339999971$11.20
04-12 10:26Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0549999985$33.60
04-12 10:26Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0709999981$33.60
04-12 10:25Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0859999966$22.40
04-12 10:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0919999976$33.60
04-12 10:24Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.114$22.40
04-12 10:24Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1539999979$56.00