MarcusAguilar4999
0xf23efbcedfd607fffda3536fd038e11b148aaec3
- Realised P&L
- $662.99
- Volume
- $85.8k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.84at 0.620Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
- +$193.55at 0.650Will Spike Jonze win Best Director of Commercials at the 78th DGA Awards?
- +$174.30at 0.502Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
- +$128.70at 0.450Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
- +$114.80at 0.440Solana Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 01:12 | Will Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.51 | $194.31 |
| 04-11 10:39 | Will Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.89 | $339.09 |
| 04-11 08:39 | Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.32 | $83.52 |
| 04-11 08:37 | Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.32 | $226.24 |
| 04-11 06:28 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $29.25 |
| 04-10 16:54 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $29.25 |
| 04-10 13:52 | Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.33 | $319.44 |
| 04-09 14:21 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | SELL | 0.39 | $111.54 |
| 04-09 14:20 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | SELL | 0.39 | $117.78 |
| 04-09 14:19 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | SELL | 0.39 | $118.95 |
| 04-07 09:03 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | BUY | 0.5 | $446.50 |
| 03-31 01:49 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? | SELL | 0.51 | $247.86 |
| 03-31 01:47 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? | SELL | 0.51 | $54.57 |
| 03-31 01:44 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? | SELL | 0.51 | $144.84 |
| 03-30 08:16 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? | BUY | 0.69 | $605.13 |