0xf20bbA8ef28BCb9A4879018C8fe7a6Bb9A6c49c5-1768852004801
0xf20bba8ef28bcb9a4879018c8fe7a6bb9a6c49c5
- Realised P&L
- $64.17
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 463
- Open portfolio
- $20.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded463
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.91at 0.236Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?
- +$21.96at 0.255Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?
- +$21.61at 0.135Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?
- +$18.22at 0.385Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?
- +$12.48at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1951219512 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3026761989 | $6.10 |
| 08-08 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-07 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 08-07 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 08-07 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 08-07 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.146 | $4.38 |
| 08-07 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-06 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2524048205 | $7.60 |
| 08-06 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3849350522 | $11.40 |
| 08-06 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 08-06 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 08-06 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.65 |
| 08-06 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.18577 | $3.72 |
| 08-05 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2545691693 | $7.50 |