PolyBot

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0xf20bbA8ef28BCb9A4879018C8fe7a6Bb9A6c49c5-1768852004801

0xf20bba8ef28bcb9a4879018c8fe7a6bb9a6c49c5

Realised P&L
$64.17
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
463
Open portfolio
$20.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded463
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 07:34Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 8?BUY0.1951219512$4.00
08-08 07:34Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 8?BUY0.3026761989$6.10
08-08 07:34Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?BUY0.39$7.80
08-07 21:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.24$7.20
08-07 21:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8?BUY0.27$8.10
08-07 21:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 8?BUY0.23$6.90
08-07 21:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 8?BUY0.146$4.38
08-07 08:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6?SELL0.999$19.98
08-06 22:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 7?BUY0.2524048205$7.60
08-06 22:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.3849350522$11.40
08-06 22:36Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?BUY0.25$7.50
08-06 19:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6?BUY0.44$8.80
08-06 19:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 6?BUY0.28$4.65
08-06 19:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 6?BUY0.18577$3.72
08-05 21:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.2545691693$7.50