jgz8823
0xf1d167f50fb1ec11a8149be39852a8398214b463
- Realised P&L
- $-76.14
- Volume
- $560.17
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $53.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.972 | $29.14 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.410 | $12.30 | +$7.50 |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No | 0.933 | 0.960 | $9.60 | +$0.27 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.230 | $1.15 | −$0.25 |
| Will 1w Team Win The International 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.090 | $0.90 | +$0.20 |
| Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner · Team Resilience | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs · Yakult Brothers | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs · Vici Gaming | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner · Yakult Brothers | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.20at 0.727Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$8.20at 0.590Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.55at 0.970Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.50at 0.850Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-3.00at 0.046Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:13 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 13:22 | Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $29.04 |
| 08-04 13:19 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 05:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 07-24 00:13 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 21:56 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 16:23 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0459999856 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 16:20 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |