Lizzie3ok3
0xf1b316e93399549991127c7e10cd3bd9c926a9a7
- Realised P&L
- $3.80
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $61.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 1.000 | $60.00 | +$13.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.90at 0.380FA Cup: Stoke City vs. Cardiff City (To Advance)
- +$12.60at 0.160Will the January unemployment rate be less than or equal to 4.0%?
- +$5.72at 0.480Will the Eagles and Commanders combine for 48 or more points?
- +$4.77at 0.039Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$4.62at 0.708US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 17:27 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $46.80 |
| 06-14 14:24 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.059 | $2.77 |
| 06-14 11:31 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $2.77 |
| 06-13 18:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $37.26 |
| 06-12 11:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $7.20 |
| 06-12 10:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $49.35 |
| 06-11 10:52 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 06-10 14:04 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $3.61 |
| 06-09 22:16 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 06-09 22:15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 06-09 07:10 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $35.91 |
| 06-09 04:06 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 06-09 01:47 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $51.84 |
| 06-06 17:21 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.961 | $38.44 |
| 06-06 01:57 | Will Alberta join the US? | SELL | 0.047 | $4.23 |