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Traders

xc494

0xf159c72f60c365eac8efbf3fed7b62f5ac268822

Realised P&L
$-600.07
Volume
$16.4k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$67.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? · No0.9991.000$27.99+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 6? · Yes0.9991.000$19.99+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? · Yes0.9980.997$19.94$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 12? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.02
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) · Team Liquid0.5000.000$0.00$505.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?BUY0.998$9.98
08-04 15:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5?BUY0.999$9.99
08-04 15:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5?BUY0.999$19.98
08-04 15:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7?BUY0.998$19.96
08-04 15:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$27.97
08-04 15:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$19.98
07-21 15:05Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?BUY0.999$19.98
07-11 14:49Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.99$7.92
07-11 14:48Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.995$19.90
07-11 14:48Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.998$19.96
07-11 14:48Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.998$19.96
07-11 14:48Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
07-11 14:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 12?BUY0.017$0.94
07-11 14:45Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
06-19 06:33Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on June 20?BUY0.999$9.99