ts001
0xf0e1767dee78291e6e4a5af0949a7bb424ea07f1
- Realised P&L
- $-52.52
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $9.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $6.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.993 | 0.995 | $1.98 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.988 | $1.45 | +$0.04 |
| Winthrop Eagles vs. High Point Panthers · Winthrop Eagles | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.18 |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Blackhawks vs. Stars · Blackhawks | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bruins vs. Penguins · Bruins | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls · Charlotte 49ers | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Wild vs. Avalanche · Wild | 0.379 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Raptors · Mavericks | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.79at 0.270Boston Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmen
- +$2.57at 0.280Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks
- +$2.00at 0.800Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$1.39at 0.419Knicks vs. Lakers
- +$1.04at 0.489Pistons vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 02:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 02:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 02:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 07:54 | Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.00 |
| 07-18 07:53 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.00 |
| 07-18 07:53 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9859999645 | $22.00 |
| 07-18 07:53 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999793 | $21.00 |
| 07-13 08:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-13 08:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-13 08:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 08:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.00 |
| 07-13 08:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-13 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-13 08:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 07-13 08:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |