erha666
0xf05cff2224b4eb3ae011bb09f2c595b091fbd8fc
- Realised P&L
- $91.13
- Volume
- $77.6k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $21.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.600 | 0.540 | $21.60 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.28at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
- +$85.88at 0.150Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$59.09at 0.118Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18?
- +$46.00at 0.180Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$45.56at 0.130Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4000 on August 8 at 5PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 01:51 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 07-30 01:47 | LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 07-30 01:29 | LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 07-29 00:51 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 07-29 00:50 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 07-28 23:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 07-28 16:55 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | SELL | 0.981 | $21.56 |
| 07-28 16:53 | Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%? | SELL | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 07-26 12:07 | Will MrBeast say "Fight" during his next gaming YouTube video? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.60 |
| 07-26 12:07 | Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video? | SELL | 0.0101666667 | $0.61 |
| 07-26 12:06 | Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next gaming YouTube video? | SELL | 0.0103321429 | $0.58 |
| 07-25 08:57 | Will MrBeast say "Lose" or "Loser" during his next gaming YouTube video? | SELL | 0.0101715686 | $1.04 |
| 07-25 08:57 | Will MrBeast say "Dream" during his next gaming YouTube video? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.02 |
| 07-25 04:54 | Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 07-25 04:41 | Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next gaming YouTube video? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.40 |