Hrukalo
0xefddba452ce5ca862cabcd08a4b2edc081139682
- Realised P&L
- $-59.94
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $0.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.45at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6?
- +$13.75at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$11.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$10.64at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$10.56at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7799999525 | $2.30 |
| 08-07 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1346801347 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.3880101631 | $14.51 |
| 08-07 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.5362689952 | $23.64 |
| 08-07 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6030851566 | $60.00 |
| 08-07 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.4997893236 | $63.10 |
| 08-06 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6182948762 | $78.07 |
| 08-06 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1855164332 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $65.45 |
| 08-06 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $40.31 |
| 08-05 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7671158771 | $30.96 |
| 08-05 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0608695096 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.228931641 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 14:28 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8319226091 | $16.00 |