0xeeE8EB963b9bCB643b239A453853C4188b8b87Fa-1733989338527
0xeee8eb963b9bcb643b239a453853c4188b8b87fa
- Realised P&L
- $0.50
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $66.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $30.07 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.999 | $22.83 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $13.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.01at 0.816Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
- +$0.43at 0.994Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$0.39at 0.966Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$0.34at 0.961Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?
- +$0.34at 0.995Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 10:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9979999366 | $14.00 |
| 08-09 00:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.80 |
| 08-06 02:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999913 | $36.10 |
| 07-29 20:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.90 |
| 07-29 17:01 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.00 |
| 07-28 13:57 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.00 |
| 07-23 23:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.70 |
| 07-22 02:32 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $24.20 |
| 07-21 11:05 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9979999645 | $23.00 |
| 07-16 10:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $17.70 |
| 07-16 05:04 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999947 | $27.00 |
| 07-14 06:29 | Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.00 |
| 07-12 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.9969999892 | $23.90 |
| 07-12 11:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $25.00 |
| 07-12 01:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.90 |