Zephyrchik
0xee4f73b4be8330d486e2eef31c9b124ae9f9a3fb
- Realised P&L
- $-49.91
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $16.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.44at 0.401S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$36.03at 0.287S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$30.42at 0.411SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$30.37at 0.372SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$19.51at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.10 |
| 07-30 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.80 |
| 07-28 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.4499999464 | $2.10 |
| 07-26 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.269457769 | $2.80 |
| 07-25 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.2289999328 | $2.10 |
| 07-25 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.4699999143 | $1.92 |
| 07-24 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-24 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.4099999024 | $2.10 |
| 07-24 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.4299998945 | $2.20 |
| 07-24 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.4099999024 | $2.10 |
| 07-23 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 07-23 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.4399998729 | $1.80 |
| 07-23 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.77 |
| 07-23 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 24? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-23 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.4099999218 | $2.15 |