0xeDa34ff8F0b056473804e545F066D86251875e71-1727185864740
0xeda34ff8f0b056473804e545f066d86251875e71
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $400.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $300.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$0.05 |
| September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Patriots vs. Jaguars · Patriots | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| MetaMask airdrop in 2024? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will $BTC reach 70k before October? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.30 |
| Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 21? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Vikings vs. Titans · Titans | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.069Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$367.93at 0.290Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?
- +$122.00at 0.566Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$72.41at 0.580Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$57.65at 0.510Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9986671105 | $300.00 |
| 08-04 19:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-01 13:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $400.00 |
| 07-30 15:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $400.00 |
| 07-23 18:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9984162253 | $400.00 |
| 07-21 15:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.0589999894 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 19:33 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.0579999828 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 19:33 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.94 |
| 07-14 14:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9974622111 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 13:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.998 | $400.00 |
| 07-02 16:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $400.00 |
| 06-09 19:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.998 | $385.00 |
| 06-09 19:08 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 13:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.999 | $399.60 |