PolyBot

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Traders

Alpha-Omicron

0xeca387f4b4941676302862c88cd8edc515eb8ccd

Realised P&L
$-7.07
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$191.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.4080.375$55.20$4.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.4890.583$47.64+$7.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7800.730$46.79$3.21
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · No0.8700.900$36.21+$1.21
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.7900.840$2.13+$0.13
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.6100.590$0.97$0.03
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.7300.705$0.97$0.03
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.7200.650$0.90$0.10
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.1500.110$0.73$0.27
Will Marco Rubio say "Ceasefire" during Fox News: My View appearance? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$2.00
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23? · No0.8200.000$0.00$20.00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.8270.000$0.00$10.00
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 15:39Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-05 15:38Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.719999856$1.00
08-05 15:37Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-05 15:37Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.7899996998$2.00
08-05 15:37Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
08-05 02:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.394999987$10.00
08-05 02:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.3942693963$10.00
08-04 22:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6429166287$20.00
08-03 12:48US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7799999978$50.00
08-01 22:32Will Marco Rubio say "Ceasefire" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 22:31Will Marco Rubio say "Nuclear" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.7199999808$3.00
08-01 22:31Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.5512437716$4.00
08-01 22:30Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.5539997995$1.00
07-29 16:08Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?BUY0.6599999296$3.00
07-28 20:40Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.869999998$35.00