Alpha-Omicron
0xeca387f4b4941676302862c88cd8edc515eb8ccd
- Realised P&L
- $-7.07
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $191.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.74at 0.761Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire
- +$24.03at 0.730Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$5.32at 0.790Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-23?
- +$4.06at 0.552Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance?
- +$3.15at 0.904Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:39 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:38 | Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:37 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:37 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 15:37 | Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 02:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.394999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 02:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3942693963 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 22:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6429166287 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 12:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 22:32 | Will Marco Rubio say "Ceasefire" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Will Marco Rubio say "Nuclear" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.5512437716 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 22:30 | Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.5539997995 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:08 | Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6599999296 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 20:40 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.869999998 | $35.00 |